Research on Overseas Investment Decision of Power Grid Project Based on Value Orientation and Risk Prevention
Abstract— As grid projects invest overseas, they face complex internal and external environments. Based on
the comprehensive analysis of the characteristics of overseas power grid projects, this study quantifies the
overseas investment value and investment risk indicators. Based on the quantitative results, three value
scenarios and four risk scenarios are determined based on different investment environments. Weigh the
constraint relationship between overseas investment value and investment risk of power grid project, and
based on the goal of value maximization, establish a collaborative optimization model of value and risk, use
genetic algorithm to solve the model to determine the optimal investment scenario combination, and In a
specific scenario, the national grid is selected to analyze the project investment in Brazil, and the decision
model is further optimized to provide decision-making basis for the investment of the overseas grid projects
of the State Grid.
Index Terms— value, risk, overseas power grid project investment, decision-making model, synergistic optimization.
Haican Diao, Min Wang, Xinyu Lin
School of Business , Renmin University of China, CHINA
Cite: Haican Diao, Min Wang, Xinyu Lin, "Research on Overseas Investment Decision of Power Grid Project Based on Value Orientation and Risk Prevention," Proceedings of 2019 the 9th International Workshop on Computer Science and Engineering, pp. 573-579, Hong Kong, 15-17 June, 2019.